Politics & Policy

Hawkeye Poll Results Show Statistical Dead Heat

Pile of "I voted" buttons

Social Science Policy program researcher Frederick Boehmke is in great demand after the October 31 release of the latest Hawkeye Poll that showed Mitt Romney with a razor-thin 45.2 - 44.4 percent lead over President Obama among likely Iowa voters. However, the results for both fall within the margin of error of 5.6 percent.

Professor Boehmke is the faculty advisor of the poll as well as an associate professor in the political science department. A UI class wrote, tested and conducted the survey of a random sample of 320 voting age Iowans. Boehmke said the race “will come down to the on-the-ground campaign, the get-out-the-vote effort.”

The poll also surveyed potential voters about the issue of judicial retention, with most respondents supporting the retainment of Iowa Supreme Court Justice David Wiggins. Roughly 53 percent said they’d vote in favor of retaining Wiggins, while 30.4 percent planned to vote against it and 16.7 percent were not sure.

The Hawkeye Poll results are featured in national, state, and local news sources including: CNN, The Gazette, The Press-Citizen, The Muscatine Journal, The Quad City Times, as well as KCRG.

Photo by Tim Schoon.